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Aldo Spanjer, Commodity Strategist of BNP Paribas: It is estimated that the average price of Brent crude oil will be 71 USD/barrel in 2026.Pimco tends to reduce its holdings of longer-term US Treasury bonds. The main reason is the rising deficit. Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan, managing directors of Pimco, wrote in a report on Monday that they have been "reducing the allocation of longer-term bonds" and prefer short-term US Treasury bonds. As the size of US Treasury bonds soared from $17 trillion before the outbreak to nearly $29 trillion, the concern about the increase in the yield of long-term treasury bonds caused by the increase in US debt has become a flash point in the market. What investors are most worried about is the recurrence of the phenomenon of "bond self-defense forces" in the 1980s and early 1990s, that is, some bondholders aggressively sold US Treasury bonds because of the huge government financial expenditure. Seidner and Dhawan wrote, "It is difficult to predict the sudden reaction of the market to long-term trends. No organized self-defense force is prepared to take action on a specific debt threshold, and changes in investor behavior usually occur over time. " Pimco said that in view of the sustainability of US debt and the impact of potential inflation catalysts on the labor force, the institution hesitated to buy long-term debt.Xinhua Review: It is of great significance for enterprises in China to "go global". On the evening of December 9, Xinhuanet published an article "What do you think of China enterprises" going global-the seventh question and answer on current China economy ",which pointed out that it is of great significance for China enterprises to" go global "regardless of taking advantage of the situation or facing difficulties. For the enterprise itself, by expanding the larger market, participating in international competition and cooperation, and using global resources, it can create more profits, reduce the risk of operating and developing in a single market, and promote itself to become bigger and stronger. As far as China's economy is concerned, China enterprises will take the road of globalization and give full play to the synergistic effect of two markets and two resources, which will help China's economic transformation and upgrading and high-quality development, and better serve the new development pattern. As far as the world economy is concerned, with the "going out" of China enterprises, China's products, technologies, business models and management experience have promoted the interconnection of various fields such as economy and trade, which will help stabilize the global supply chain and add new vitality to the world economy.

Xinhua Viewpoint: "Changing the expression of monetary policy from' prudent' to' moderately loose' means that China continues to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance. In the early morning of December 10th, Xinhuanet published an article" Xinhua Viewpoint: Looking at the New Trends of Economic Work in 2025 from Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party ",pointing out that at present, China's development is facing many uncertainties and challenges. To do a good job in economic work next year, we must strengthen our confidence in winning. Further comprehensively deepen reform, open wider to the outside world at a high level, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand and stabilize the property market and stock market ... Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has made a series of important arrangements for economic work next year. The expression "moderately loose monetary policy" at the meeting attracted people's attention. "The expression of monetary policy has changed from' steady' to' moderately loose', which means that China will continue to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance, maintain a reasonable and abundant liquidity, further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents, and create a good monetary and financial environment for promoting sustained economic recovery." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, said that it was more than 10 years before China's monetary policy was "moderately loose". Judging from the actual operation, monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation. Since the beginning of this year, the market generally feels that China's monetary policy has been in a stable and slightly loose state.Analysts such as Max Layton of Citigroup predicted in the global commodity outlook in 2025 that there would be a "substantial oversupply" of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2025. The average price of Brent crude oil may be $60/barrel in 2025, and it may be the same level in 2026.Market information: The International Monetary Fund has reached an agreement at the staff level, allowing Ecuador to obtain a loan of about 500 million US dollars, but it needs to be approved by the statement of the board of directors of the organization.

Federal Reserve Bank of new york: Respondents expect the interest rate of savings accounts to rise next year. In November, their views on the current household financial situation remained stable, and respondents significantly lowered their expectations for the future level of government lending. Respondents believe that the risk of not being able to repay debts is declining, and respondents expect that the financial situation will improve in the coming year, which is the highest level since February 2020.The United States admitted that the Abrams tank failed to play its role. Among the many weapons provided by the United States to Ukraine, the M1A1 "abrams" main battle tank was once advertised as having a great impact on the war situation. However, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, admitted at the Reagan National Defense Forum held in California on December 7 that abrams's main battle tanks failed to function. (CCTV International News)The Israeli military says three soldiers were killed in the northern part of the Gaza Strip.